Pragmatism over retaliation.
The recent India-Pakistan conflict, triggered by the Pahalgam terrorist attack, saw China providing military aid to Pakistan, including advanced weaponry and strategic support. Given Beijing’s role in bolstering Islamabad, one might expect India to adopt a hardened stance against China. Yet, New Delhi is actively working to stabilize and rebuild ties with Beijing. Why?
India’s leadership understands that outright hostility toward China would be counterproductive. Despite tensions, China remains India’s largest trading partner, and economic interdependence cannot be ignored. The Indian government is currently engaged in diplomatic and commercial discussions to secure rare earth elements from China, crucial for its automobile and defence industries. This pragmatic approach underscores India’s recognition that economic resilience requires cooperation, even with adversaries.
While China’s support for Pakistan is concerning, India is aware that isolating Beijing could push it further into Pakistan’s orbit. Instead, New Delhi is leveraging diplomatic channels to maintain engagement, ensuring that China does not become an exclusive patron of Islamabad. The recent consultations between Indian and Chinese foreign ministries reflect an effort to stabilize relations and resume key exchanges, including direct flights and cultural interactions.
India’s military strategists recognize the dangers of simultaneous hostilities with both Pakistan and China. The 2020 Galwan Valley clash demonstrated the volatility of Sino-Indian border tensions. By keeping diplomatic lines open, India aims to prevent a scenario where it faces coordinated aggression from both neighbours.
China’s dominance in rare earth exports and manufacturing capabilities makes engagement necessary. India’s efforts to secure rare earth supplies from China highlight a pragmatic approach to economic security. Additionally, India’s growing semiconductor and EV industries require stable trade relations with Beijing.
India’s approach to China post-conflict is not about forgiveness but strategic foresight. By maintaining diplomatic engagement, India ensures economic stability, prevents a two-front war, and keeps Beijing from fully aligning with Pakistan. This calculated diplomacy reflects New Delhi’s understanding that in geopolitics, pragmatism often outweighs emotional retaliation.
* Nephew of the Dalai Lama, Khedroob Thondup is a geopolitical analyst.
